“Hey did you hear my contract value?” Photo via NYpost Some random thoughts today on the Juan Soto deal. 15 years, $765million. Just putting that out there. $51M/year AAV. If a WAR on the FA market is worth $9M (that’s the going rate from a few years back, i’ll bet its more now), then Soto will have to put up about 80 WAR in the next 15 years to “earn” this … [Read more...] about Juan Soto makes $300M more than the Nats offered
2024 Wrap Up of Rotations with 2025 Predictions
It has been a pleasure to follow the 2024 rotations of this team, something that hasn’t always been true. 2024 saw a slew of arms make major leaps forward, both in terms of promotion and in terms of stature. Here’s a final recap of the rotations for the 2024 season, showing the evolution of the rotation at each level, and then we’ll make some predictions on … [Read more...] about 2024 Wrap Up of Rotations with 2025 Predictions
Do we have any Non-Tender candidates for 2024?
Finnegan faces a non-tender decision that could cost the team neraly $10M. Photo via wikipedia The next stop on the off-season transaction bus is the “Non Tender Deadline,” by where players under club control (whether it be pre-arbitration or arbitration-eligible) need to be offered contracts (tendered) by 11/22/24 or else they officially get cut-loose and become free … [Read more...] about Do we have any Non-Tender candidates for 2024?
Rule-5 Protection History and Player Performance (updated for 2024)
Robert Hassell Joins the team. Here’s a complete history of my predicted Rule-5 additions (with links to each prediction piece), along with the Actual players the team protected (with links as well), to show my (lack of) predictive powers. It’s updated for 2024 and has narratives about each class and how the players turned out later on with updates for the last year of … [Read more...] about Rule-5 Protection History and Player Performance (updated for 2024)
2024 Rule-5 Player Analysis and Prediction
Hassell should be a lock to protect. Photo via nbcsports It’s that time of year. Its “Rule-5 time!” We do it every year. Its our annual deep dive into our older prospects to see who the team may be thinking about protecting. Here’s links to past years posts on this topic: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010. And here’s a … [Read more...] about 2024 Rule-5 Player Analysis and Prediction