Josiah Gray was an All-Star, but now his future is uncertain in DC
The Washington Nationals’ future is considered one of the best in baseball. With All-Star C.J. Abrams and budding superstar James Wood, Washington’s lineup seems to be a good spot. However, when looking at their rotation, there are more question marks than answers. Mackenzie Gore has been deemed the future ace, but not too long ago, there was a young right-hander who found early success and looked to be a key rotation piece in Washington’s plans, and his name is Josiah Gray.
Where is Josiah Gray, and where does Josiah Gray fit into the Nationals’ future?
On July 30th, 2021, the Washington Nationals started their rebuild, trading away franchise stars Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to the Los Angeles Dodgers for a prospect package, including the Dodgers’ top prospects Keibert Ruiz and Josiah Gray.
Gray would break out in 2023, attending his first All-Star game and posting a career-best 3.91 ERA. Following this terrific season, Gray would only throw two games in 2024 before having Tommy John Surgery in July of 2024.
The right-hander has been making progress. As of February 15, Gray stated, “I feel great… We’re in a good spot right now, and we’re just going to keep plugging forward.”
Washington has yet to solidify their rotation. After acquiring MacKenzie Gore in 2022, there have been no consistent improvements in the rotation. Mitchell Parker and Jake Irvin have shown signs of being long-term options, however, theyhave not shown the ability to play at a high level for extended periods of time. Cade Cavalli was one of the Nationals’ top pitching prospects, but injuries have plagued his 2025 season.
There is a clear shot for Gray to secure a long-term spot in Washington’s rotation: But where in the rotation?
If Washington is getting 2023 Josiah Gray, a one-two punch of Gray and Gore would be a great foundation. However, Gray has struggled in the big leagues outside of his lone All-Star campaign. In his two appearances in 2024, Gray allowed a whopping thirteen runs.
It is unlikely Gray will be a factor for Washington in 2025. With a full off-season to recover and a full spring training, 2026 could be a big year for the 27-year-old. I think Gray can replicate his production from 2023 and solidify himself in the two spot behind Gore. However, if Gray’s struggles from 2024 continue into 2026, Gray could be on his way out the door.
Realistically, Gray should be able to earn himself a middle-of-the-rotation spot for 2026.