Thus far, MLBTR’s Deadline Outlook series has focused on teams that have a clear buy or sell direction. The Orioles are certainly trending towards the latter but are arguably the first semi-bubble team that we’ll cover. Barring a monster July, they’ll have no choice but to sell at least some short-term pieces. They’ve got a number of players who’ll draw interest.
Record: 34-46 (2.9% playoff probability, per FanGraphs)
Sell Mode
Impending Free Agents: Ryan O’Hearn, Cedric Mullins, Seranthony Domínguez, Gregory Soto, Charlie Morton, Zach Eflin, Tomoyuki Sugano, Gary Sánchez
Baltimore has eight impending free agents, seven of whom have some level of trade value. O’Hearn has slumped this month but still carries a robust .301/.384/.485 line. It’s his third consecutive above-average season, and he’s playing on an affordable $8MM salary. The Mariners, Giants, Reds, Rangers and Royals could all make sense. Mullins had a monster April but hasn’t hit over the last two months. He’s nevertheless alongside Luis Robert Jr. as the most obvious trade candidates at a weak position. The Mets, Phillies, Guardians, Royals, Padres and Braves are among teams that could use a center fielder or could target Mullins with an eye towards playing him in a corner.
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