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NFL Playoff Picture: The Washington Commanders are in, now which team will they play?

December 31, 2024 by Hogs Haven

Washington Commanders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Photo by Thomas Simonetti for The Washington Post via Getty Images

Playoffs!

The Washington Commanders entered Week 17 with one mission, beat the Atlanta Falcons, They did their job and secured a spot in the playoffs. Now the question is which spot will they end up with, and who will they play on Super Wildcard Weekend.

Washington got some help from the Minnesota Vikings in the late afternoon block. They defeated their division rivals, the Green Bay Packers, and moved into the #1 seed in the NFC. That could change tonight with the Detroit Lions visiting the already eliminated San Francisco 49ers. The #1 seed in the NFC, and the NFC North crown, will likely come down to the Lions vs Vikings Week 18 matchup.

The Philadelphia Eagles won the NFC East yesterday by demolishing the Dallas Cowboys with their 2nd- and 3rd-string QBs. They are locked into the #2 seed thanks to their loss to the Commanders last week. The NFC South is still up for grabs after the Falcons loss.

The Washington Commanders are currently the 6th seed in the NFC, but there are still a lot of things that could change before the playoffs start. If the season ended today, they would be traveling to the west coast to play the Los Angeles Rams. Washington holds the tie-breaker over the Packers(record vs the NFC), but they need to have the same record, or better for that to matter.

6th/7th seed in the NFC

Washington win, Green Bay loss

Nothing changes and Washington is the 6th seed

Washington win, Green Bay win

Nothing changes and Washington is the 6th seed

Washington loss, Green Bay win

Packers are the 6th seed, Commanders are the 7th seed

Washington loss, Green Bay loss

Nothing changes and Washington is the 6th seed

3rd/4th seed in the NFC

Los Angeles win, Tampa Bay loss

Rams are the 3rd seed, Bucs are the 4th seed

Los Angeles win, Tampa Bay win

Rams are the 3rd seed, Bucs are the 4th seed

Los Angeles loss, Tampa Bay win

Rams are the 4th seed, Bucs are the 3rd seed


The most likely outcome is that the Washington Commanders take care of business in Arlington and hold onto the 6th seed. If that happens, a trip to Los Angeles could be in their future. If not, they’ll get a rematch against their Week 1 opponent, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. If they get swept by the Cowboys…that’ll be a rematch against the Eagles in Philadelphia — unless the Packers lose again in Week 18.

Super Bowl odds: +3200

Washington Commanders remaining schedule

Week 18 – @ Dallas Cowboys (January 5, 1 pm FOX)


NFC standings during Week 16

1. x-Minnesota Vikings (14-2)

2. y-Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)

3. x-Los Angeles Rams (10-6)

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)

5. x-Detroit Lions (13-2)

6. x-Washington Commanders (11-5)

7. x-Green Bay Packers (11-5)

8. Seattle Seahawks (9-7) — eliminated

9. Atlanta Falcons (8-8)

10. Dallas Cowboys (7-9) — eliminated

11. Arizona Cardinals (7-9) — eliminated

12. San Francisco 49ers (6-9) — eliminated

13. New Orleans Saints (5-11) — eliminated

14. Chicago Bears (4-12) — eliminated

15. Carolina Panthers (4-12) — eliminated

16. New York Giants (3-13) — eliminated

AFC standings after Week 16

1. y-Kansas City Chiefs (15-1)

2. y-Buffalo Bills (13-3)

3. x-Baltimore Ravens (11-5)

4. y-Houston Texans (9-7)

5. x-Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6)

6. x-Los Angeles Chargers (10-6)

7. Denver Broncos (9-7)

8. Miami Dolphins (8-8)

9. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)

10. Indianapolis Colts (7-9) — eliminated

11. New York Jets (4-11) — eliminated

12. Las Vegas Raiders (4-12) — eliminated

13. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12) — eliminated

14. Cleveland Browns (4-12) — eliminated

15.Tennessee Titans (3-13) — eliminated

16. New England Patriots (3-13) — eliminated

Teams with an (x) have clinched a playoff spot

Teams with a (y) have clinched their division


NFL Division Standings

AFC East standings

  1. Buffalo Bills, 13-3 — division clinched
  2. Miami Dolphins, 8-8
  3. New York Jets, 4-12 — eliminated from playoff contention
  4. New England Patriots, 3-13 — eliminated from playoff contention

AFC North standings

  1. Baltimore Ravens, 11-5 — playoffs clinched
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers, 10-6 — playoffs clinched
  3. Cincinnati Bengals, 8-8
  4. Cleveland Browns, 3-13 — eliminated from playoff contention

AFC South standings

  1. Houston Texans, 9-7 — division clinched
  2. Indianapolis Colts, 7-9 — eliminated from playoff contention
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars, 4-12 — eliminated from playoff contention
  4. Tennessee Titans, 3-13 — eliminated from playoff contention

AFC West standings

  1. Kansas City Chiefs, 15-1 — division clinched
  2. Los Angeles Chargers, 10-6 — playoffs clinched
  3. Denver Broncos, 9-7
  4. Las Vegas Raiders, 4-12 — eliminated from playoff contention

NFC East standings

  1. Philadelphia Eagles, 13-3 — division clinched
  2. Washington Commanders, 11-5 — playoffs clinched
  3. Dallas Cowboys, 7-9 — eliminated from playoff contention
  4. New York Giants, 3-13 — eliminated from playoff contention

NFC North standings

  1. Minnesota Vikings, 14-2 — playoffs clinched
  2. Detroit Lions, 13-2 — playoffs clinched
  3. Green Bay Packers, 11-5 — playoffs clinched
  4. Chicago Bears, 4-12 — eliminated from playoff contention

NFC South standings

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 9-7
  2. Atlanta Falcons, 8-8
  3. New Orleans Saints, 5-11 — eliminated from playoff contention
  4. Carolina Panthers, 4-12 — eliminated from playoff contention

NFC West standings

  1. Los Angeles Rams, 10-6 — division clinched
  2. Seattle Seahawks, 9-7 — eliminated from playoff contention
  3. Arizona Cardinals, 7-9 — eliminated from playoff contention
  4. San Francisco 49ers, 6-9 — eliminated from playoff contention

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